Tuesday, 1 December 2015
DAIWA BRINGS A NOTE OF SKEPTICISM TO A YUAN SDR ROLE
Some investors are excited China's yuan is looking likely to be included
in the IMF's basket of reserves currencies, the special drawing rights. But,
what's so special about that? asks Daiwa. "We do not subscribe to the view
that SDR inclusion will bring the CNY anywhere close to reserve-currency
status. Neither would it create a surge in demand for the CNY or
CNY-denominated assets in the short or medium term," says analyst Kevin
Lai. The SDR is not a currency, nor can it circulate freely among buyers, the
house reminds us. Private investors and banks do not hold or use the basket. It
cannot be a reserve asset, provider of liquidity or help maintain
exchange-range management. Still, Daiwa concedes, the decision to include the
yuan, should it occur, would be "symbolically important for China,"
putting its currency in line with the U.S. dollar, British pound, the euro and
the Japanese yen. (anjie.zheng@wsj.com; Twitter: @anjiezheng)
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